Se afișează postările cu eticheta bet tips football. Afișați toate postările
Se afișează postările cu eticheta bet tips football. Afișați toate postările

marți, 1 aprilie 2014

Manchester United v Bayern Munich Betting Preview

Manchester United will continue their Champions League campaign against Bayern Munich this evening, and their meeting with the German side comes at the worst possible time.
It’s hard to say there’s a good time to face Bayern Munich, but the Bavarians have just secured the Bundesliga title in record breaking fashion, and their one and only concern for the remainder of this season is the Champions League.
United’s concern is probably just not embarrassing themselves at the moment. A tough, tough season has piled the pressure on Moyes and the players at the club, and a hammering by Bayern will only worsen the situation.
Even the most hardened United fan will be expecting the worst this evening, but it’s key United keep tonight’s first leg competitive and they display the effort the fans will expect and deserve to see.
United will be without the services of experienced European campaigners Patrice Evra and Robin van Persie this evening, but Smalling and Fellaini are expected to return to the side.
Valencia and Rafael are also unlikely to be available, which affects the depth of United in wide areas, and could push Phil Jones to full back against Ribery.
Pep Guardiola has opted to rest Thiago Alcantara, whilst Dante, like Evra, is suspended for this evening’s first leg.
Bayern are going to line up in their familiar 4-2-3-1 formation that played such a big role in taking Barcelona apart on aggregate.
Lahm and Schweinsteiger are likely to isolate Rooney from the game and force two lines of four, whilst the setup allows Ribery and Robben to cheat and stay forward.
Ribery in particular could be the key, as I just don’t see Phil Jones having the pace, experience of the ability to trouble the Frenchmen at any point, and he’ll probably also have to deal with Robben at some point in the game.
Manchester United may have played some classics against Bayern over the years – most notably in 1999 in their dramatic Champions League final victory – but this current crop don’t even need mentioning in the same breath.
United face a tough task against the best team in the world over the last 12 months, and there’s a danger that this game could be well and truly over by the time they make the trip to Munich for the second leg.
Armed with our free betting tips from this exclusive Manchester United v Bayern Munich Betting Preview it is betting time. Before you do place any bets though you should think about getting the better betting value and one way of ding that is by using the bookmakers free bets

vineri, 14 februarie 2014

Basics of football betting

For a newcomer to betting, let alone online betting, then one may wonder where the best place is to start. Football is naturally one of the largest markets for online sportsbooks, and is the sport which makes people sign up with a bookie, such is its popularity. There are some basics of football betting to take a look at, which can not only help you ease into the world of football betting, but also can help you start making a profit as quickly as possible.

You can’t fail to look at a bookmaker and see the wealth of betting opportunities available for football markets. You will have an idea where to start, and it will probably be with your favourite team. Naturally you will want your team to win and backing them seems like a pretty sound idea. This is a lot of people’s basic introduction into the world of online football betting, as it is an easy entry point. So, all that you need to do from that point is find your team in the Sportsbook coupon and select them to add to your betting slip. You enter your stake and confirm the bet, and you have just made your first wager.

So... that is a very basic introduction to football betting, as you have not taken into any consideration the prices on offer at your bookmaker. Did the bet you make represent good value or not? As a fan of that team you will have a good idea of whether they are supposed to win or not against their opposition. If they are, then the odds will have been low and you will stand to make only a small amount of profit, meaning that you staked a lot in relation to what winnings you will get. If, however they aren’t expected to win, then you will be hoping for a big upset to make you happy, as your odds will have been longer, and there much more valuable to you, if your team does win. Always weigh up the risk of the stake against the potential returns before betting on football, or any sports for that matter, as it should never be overlooked. Always make sure that you are never betting more than you can afford, too. So, what if your team is expected to win and you don’t want to wager too big a stake, and the odds really are not going to give you much back? This is where some basics of football betting start to get a little more interesting. 

Best sports books will present a lot more markets for football betting than just picking an outright winner. Take a look in the extra bets section next to a match and you will see plenty more options such as First GoalscorerAnytime GoalscorerHandicap Betting,Correct ScoreWinning Margin and much, much more. If your outright odds aren’t anything spectacular, then it is well worth dipping into these markets to find something of much better value. There are some good prices to be had around here, and do constitute the basics of football betting. You make your selections just as you would with your outright winner bets, but because these alternative markets are a little more specialised in terms of picking a correct outcome, there are much better prices to be had around. But, if you are happy with accumulating a little profit at a time, then stick with backing your favourite team through thick and thin. 

joi, 13 februarie 2014

Betting Strategies Basketball

Many people ask, ‘Is it possible to earn profit using Basketball betting strategies?’
It has been observed that most of the people who bet, most of them try their luck and statistical analysis shows that around 98% of the people who bet using luck lose their money. For normal people, betting is fate, but in actual, if the statistical aspects of betting are observed it is seen that betting is based on probabilities. This means that if you can calculate the probability of a game or a team then maybe you can find out that how much chances there are for a win, but one can not guarantee that he will win the bet or not.
It has been observed that Basketball is one of the most revenue generating, and it can be achieved by applying Basketball Betting Strategies in a proper and calculated fashion.
- Betting on parlays can often yield bad results, it seems to be an efficient way, but in reality, it reduces the chances of your winning and one should avoid this type of betting.
- You should never try to get back the money that you lose in a game or do not get carried away by the desire to keep pursuing that lost money as you might lose even more in this state of emotions, so just pay whatever you lose and abandon that game.
- Before betting on a team you should get all the information on it so that you know if it has better chances to win or not.
- Do not rely on a one strategy, you should keep on evolving your strategies according to the type of the game and situations.
- If you win a game then you should not increase or decrease the amount you were betting with earlier since it is no guaranteed that you will win the next coming games.
- One of the most common tips is that you should not go for a team that you like but you should choose the team that is better statistically or you can say it this way ‘ choose the team with your brain and not with your heart’
- Always try to access if the favorites can cover the spread or the underdogs will maintain the spread.
- This does not count as much of a strategy but it is efficient than many other ways. You need to get some advice from people who have been in this field for a long time, they can guide beginners very well
because they know about the ups and downs of the games and which strategy would be most effective for the type of game. 
Even if we use all of these strategies, still it cannot be assured nor is it guaranteed that a person following these strategies would get a 100% win rate. These basketball-betting strategies are meant to enhance your chances to win by giving you an idea of the betting system at which through these strategies your winning percentage can increase up to 70% or more.

luni, 6 ianuarie 2014

Start Internet Sports Betting

Internet sports betting has been developed into a big industry today.  Several sports books are now operating on the web, accepting wagers from bettors around the world.  Well, internet sports betting is favored by many players for the reason that it gives them better chances of winning.   Another major reason for that ever growing popularity of internet sports betting is that the online bookmakers can save you a lot of time.  This is obviously for the fact that with this gambling trend, you do not need to search and approach a local bookmaker just to place a bet.  With the internet sports betting, you can easily place a bet at any time of the day and night without leaving your room.

But, what you should do to enjoy sports betting on the internet?

To start your ultimate internet sports betting, you need to choose a reliable bookmaker.   As what I’ve said earlier, several bookmakers are now out there on the web, so finding the most reliable one could be difficult.  The best thing to do now is to read reviews or choose the ones that you have heard before, that have a well-known name, reliability and credibility.   Look for some recommendations online and if you’ve found one, read first the rules of your chosen bookmaker to see if you are okay with them and also to avoid some possible problems in the future.  Choose a couple of bookmakers for opening accounts with.

If you’ve found the right portal to place your wagers on, start opening your account.  Opening a sports betting account online is just very simple.  All you need to do is to look for the link “Register” or “Open Account”.  Click on it and provide some information about yourself.  You will be asked about a user name and password which you will be using in your every visit.

For you to place a bet on internet sports betting, you have to have some money on your account.  So the next step would be to deposit the money.   Note that several online bookmakers today offer a wide range of possibilities for depositing your money.  They often welcome credit cards, by check or by bank wire.  Once you have deposited your money for internet sports betting, it is also important to check for bonus after your deposit.  Most bookmakers actually provide some sort of bonuses or promotional offer after your first deposit.

Place your bets.  But before you do this, check and understand first how to place a bet at your chosen bookmaker.  Read the rules of your bookmaker and be careful when you place your first bets.  There are some internet sports betting sites these days that have different types of odds and this can be tricky.  So if possible choose odds format that you are familiar with.

Finally, whenever you have some questions at the internet sports betting site you’ve chosen, or if you have problems with your bets, don’t hesitate to contact the customer service of your chosen internet sports betting bookmaker.  Note that customer service is there to help you, so let them do their job.  They are paid for that job after all.

Money Management when Betting on Sports

When betting on sports, it is no surprise for you to know that hundreds of bettors lose their bets.  Well, losing at sports betting is just normal.  But didn’t you wonder why so many people lose at betting on sports despite the fact that sports betting provides them better chances of winning?  Some say that it is because of poor handicapping.  But while this can be true, for me it is not the exact reason that bettors lose as there are hundreds of folks that are expert handicappers who still lose their shirts year in and year out.  The truth of the matter is, people lose at betting on sports because of poor money management skills.

People with poor money management skills are usually uninformed.  However, this is not often the case as others manage their money poorly because they are undisciplined.  No matter what the case may be, people who lose at betting on sports are both uninformed and undisciplined.

So if you are serious about success in betting on sports, then I guess it is very crucial for you to make plan and remain disciplined.  As what most of the money management experts often say, it is best to set up your own goals, your strategy for winning at betting on sports, and of course some betting rules that you will always keep in mind during your sports betting.

When I say setting up of your goals, what I mean is thinking first from what you want from a certain sportsbook.You should set up your goals as money limit that you want to earn.  Always remember that when betting on sports, one should bet only with money that he or she can afford to lose.  To put it simply, never bet with money that you cannot afford to lose or you do not have for that can only bring you lots of problems in the end.

As soon as you have set up your betting goals, you should then start defining the betting strategies you might take.  One particular winning strategy that I am familiar about is the so-called betting on singles only.  According to some expert bettors and handicappers, it is very important that when betting on sports you avoid accumulators.  Perhaps one main support for this is the fact that your possibilities for winning at sports betting are decreasing with every game added in accumulator.  So at the beginning of the game or the betting season, try to set up your usual betting amount and only bet most of your singles.  Then, when you find yourself winning at a particular betting season, do not increase stakes.   This is also true when you are in losing streak either.

Finally, betting on sports needs a time for little rest.  So if you find yourself loosing streak when betting on sports and it seems that you cannot win, think that maybe it’s time for you to take a little rest.   Consider not to bet for a week or two.  As far as I know, this will help you obtain a better view of things.  Also, think that in sports betting not all... See more on the best free betting tips site.

HOW TO OBTAIN THE BEST SPORTS BETTING ODDS

Many betters who place their money on various sporting events for a profit want to be sure to get the best odds possible. Nevertheless, no matter what game they become involved in, they will be unable to avoid the idea that the best sports betting odds with always favor the house. This fact also holds true within the games and machines found in all casinos.

The best sporting odds tend to be higher than those of other gambling games. In most cases, the betters of sporting events can expect to receive about 8 to 10 percent of their initial investments back. For example, if you bet $100 on the sporting event, the chances are high that you will make at least $108-$110 back in the long term.

However, the real question here is how to locate the best betting odds when it comes to sports.

There are a variety of ways that you can find the best betting odds for sports. One such method is to locate the most reliable sports books available out there. These sports books are generally used to show money lines and spread sheets, which are what most sports betters use when determining whether or not to wager their money on a certain team, whether it be a favorite team or an underdog.

In order for sports books to be truly beneficial, betters must remember that they are not playing the actual sports books. They need to understand that there is a difference between these books and the real odds, which are not completely determined by the books. The odds are instead a predictive measure that has been created by the bookie.
The best odds for sports betting are expressed in numbers. These numbers depend on a variety of factors, but may be altered or adjusted if it is sent that a great deal of betters placing their wagers on the same team. In what ways do bookies compensate for this action? They simply add points to a losing team and remove points from the more popular team. With this method, the bookie is able to make the most money with the best sports betting odds. This is where the idea that the odds will always favor the house come into play.
Examining the money lines is yet another strategy for determining the best sports betting odds. Some experts of gambling state that the best way to understand what a money line is is to consider it as what the better should wager in order to make $100 in profits from the bet. The money line itself is typically represented with a positive or negative number. For instance, it could be  -100 or +100. As it was mentioned earlier, the long term profit for the placement of these bids typically comes out to be 8-10 percent.

Why Bet On Sports?

Here is a question that few people ever really ask: why should you bet on sports? Some may find this to be a rather odd question. Most people have never really pondered their answer. Generally, the common response will be that they bet on sports to make money. Honestly, that is a perfectly fine answer. No one will look to wager on sports to lose money! In all seriousness, it is a nice thing to win a lot of money, but making the best sports picks is not always easy.

Right now, we can look at a few of the other reasons why it is best to bet on sports.

Betting on sports can be fun and exciting. Yes, there is a financial component to making the best sports picks. No one wishes to make a poor financial decision. Of course, most people realize you cannot win every time you place a wager and no one ever expects this to be the case. However, there is still a lot of excitement that you can have whether you win or lose as long as you do not suffer a high amount of losses. The key to circumventing such an outcome would be not to bet more than you can afford to lose which would be simple, basic common sense.

There is a sense of excitement you can draw from the venture because you will be pulled into the game. This can be considered part of the psychological enjoyment when you bet on sports. In a way, you have such a stake in the outcome in the game you become part owner of the team for a very short period of time. Well, you do from a psychological standpoint at least. With a wager, your stake is stronger than that of a casual fan, which adds to the great benefit of playing the game. Again, just be sure never to go overboard with the amount you actually wager.

It does bear repeating, you can make quite a bit of money when you best on sports. When you hit a streak of quality sports picks, you will discover that your fortunes might turn around a lot quicker than people realize. Consider that another major reason why it is worthwhile to best on sports.

Just be sure you are doing the proper research on the teams you are wagering on. Wagering should never be random or based on selections that are not logical. This will be the pathway to losing money as opposed to making any. So, look toward making reliable sports picks whenever possible or else you will discover your ability to amass money wagering will be nil.

For those that may not be all that adept at making picks, here is some advice: sign on with a solid sports betting line service. Often, they can provide excellent picks and predictions that will improve your chances of winning. And that is what you want in the long run is it not?

Click here for more information on sports betting

Top Sports Betting Tips

While many will mention how much fun they have with sports betting, they will also be quick to acknowledge that much of their fun will be predicated on winning. No one really likes to place a wager and end up on the losing end. Yet, that is part of the game. Are there ways to minimize it? Here is some good news for those wondering such a thing: the following five top notch betting tips will certainly boost the chances of winning - and winning big - at any sports you place a wager on.
So, without further ado, here are the top five most helpful sports betting tips:

Perform a high amount of research. No, this does not mean you need to invest an enormous amount of time tracing the history of the team back several decades. While such amateur historian work can be a little fun it would also be a bit unnecessary. Instead, simply review the win-loss records of the team, coaching changes, injury reports, and other factors that play a role in the outcome of a team's performance.

Follow the lines offered by a top of the (pardon the pun) line handicapper. Lines play a large role in virtually all sports betting ventures. Mostly all betting tips would be useless if you were not following effective lines designed to give you a clear idea of who is the favorite and who is the underdog.

Take part in alternative sports betting as a way of hedging. There is most than one type of bet you can place on a particular game. An over and under bet would be a common example of this. How does an over and under bet work? Basically, you would be placing a wager on whether or not the combined total of the final score is either higher or lower than the figure presented by the handicapper. Many will place over and under bets as a hedge to cover any losses if their primary picks do not win. Of course, if the primary picks do win and the over and under bets wins, you can really clean up on that game. That is why wagering on the over and under as a hedge might be among the most helpful of all betting tips.

Subscribe to a well respected game prediction service. First off, no service can credibly make the claim that it can provide 100% accuracy with all predictions. No reasonable person should expect that any service can. However, there are wagering prediction services that can develop a consistently higher rate of accurate predictions. Such services would be the ones you would be better suited for signing up with since they are known for their higher percentage of quality results.

Bet with your head and not over it. This would be one of the best betting tips to give anyone. Such a slogan is prominently featured on the walls on many casinos in Vegas and Atlantic City. Those that do wish to get the most out of their sports betting experience are well advised to place wagers they can afford. To do otherwise could prove incredibly detrimental to their finances. And what would be the fun in a scenario such as that?

sâmbătă, 2 noiembrie 2013

Betting on football is a huge and growing global industry worth billions of pounds per year.

Football betting - the global gambling industry worth billions

Gambling on football is a huge and growing global industry worth billions of pounds per year.
While having a flutter at the bookies has long been associated with horse racing, the growth of online betting could see football challenge that position in Britain.
However, betting on football is now a worldwide phenomenon with much of the trading carried out on illegal markets in Asia, where the huge sums wagered bring with it the threat of match-fixing.
Here we look at the rise in betting, the risks of corruption and the history of cheating in the sport.

How much is the sports betting industry worth?

"The current estimations, which include both the illegal markets and the legal markets, suggest the sports match-betting industry is worth anywhere between $700bn and $1tn (£435bn to £625bn) a year," says Darren Small, director of integrity at betting and sports data analysts Sportradar.
About 70% of that trade has been estimated to come from trading on football.
Sportradar has contracts to monitor betting on some 55,000 matches a year, running algorithms which cover 350 global bookmakers, to spot suspicious betting patterns. Concerns are raised with about 1% of fixtures monitored.
"It doesn't sound a great deal but it is still 500 or so matches that are potentially fixed and we are talking potentially millions of pounds in turnover on these matches which is running through criminal activities," says Small.
International crime investigation body Interpol says its Operation Soga has carried out more than 2,300 raids on properties worldwide as part of its drive to disrupt match fixers.
It has seized over $27m (£16.8m) in cash, and closed down illegal gambling dens which handled bets worth more than $2bn (£1.2bn).

What are people betting on?

While betting in Asia is usually restricted to a limited range, the array of options in Europe are far more than the traditional straightforward choices of win, lose or draw.
Licensed bookies offer upwards of 200 different markets on matches around the globe.
You can bet on the first and last goalscorer, the correct score, the half-time score, number of goals, whether there will be a sending-off, a hat-trick, penalty or the amount of corners.
Some markets are time specific - offering odds on whether there might be a goal, card, corner or penalty in the first five minutes of the match, for example.

Is betting on football a new phenomenon?

The Football Pools started 90 years ago this year. Within months, hundreds of thousands of fans were filling in weekly coupons, attempting to predict Saturday afternoon's results in the hope of winning cash prizes.
In 1961, Viv Nicholson, a factory worker from Castleford, won a £152,000 jackpot,  equivalent to almost £5m today.
More than £3.2bn in winnings has been paid to 61m people over the years and more than 500,000 people still play the pools each week.

What has changed in recent years?

The growth of the internet and mobile devices with quick access to odds has made betting generally much more accessible.
Satellite television channels and increased coverage of live football matches around the world has increased interest and opportunity.
With it has come the widespread use of "in-running" betting, where punters can stake money on the action as it happens - for example, who will score the next goal, with odds fluctuating on the pattern of play.
Online football betting has mushroomed since it first became significant before the 1998 World Cup and Euro 2000.

What is illegal betting?

There is a ban on sports betting in some countries, while elsewhere illegal betting syndicates offer better odds, making the potential winnings more attractive.
Laws vary in different countries. In Singapore, for example, it is legal to place a wager on a football match at a "pools store", but online sports betting is banned.
Aside from the concerns over match-fixing, there are other financial issues associated with illegal betting, including transactions that are unaccounted for and cost governments hundreds of millions in lost tax revenue, while they also damage the profits of legal bookmakers.
Gamblers take their own risks. With no records of bets, the arrangement is based on mutual trust.

Is football match-fixing a new issue?

Incidents involving British footballers are relatively isolated, although betting scandals go back as far as 1915 when seven players were banned after Manchester United beat Liverpool 2-0 in a match at Old Trafford where the visitors missed a penalty.
An investigation was launched after complaints from bookmakers following a run of bets on the correct scoreline, with a goal in each half.
Nearly 50 years later, eight players were jailed for offences surrounding match-fixing, including Sheffield Wednesday's 2-0 defeat by Ipswich in 1964.
A series of floodlight failures affected top-flight English matches in 1997 and later saw a businessman convicted of taking part in an Asian betting scam.
The fraudster, who had links to the Chinese Triad underworld, was found guilty of plotting to black out a Charlton-Liverpool game.
Two previous matches - West Ham v Crystal Palace and Wimbledon against Arsenal - saw the floodlights fail when the scores were level, a result favourable to a Far East betting syndicate, but cases of match-fixing in Britain are relatively rare.
In 2006, Italian sides Juventus, Fiorentina and Lazio were relegated for their involvement in a match-fixing scandal - although after appeals, only Juve were actually demoted.
Earlier this year, 58 Chinese football officials were given match-fixing bans and last month police in Singapore arrested 14 people said to be part of a crime gang involved in global football match-fixing.
There have also been cases of cheating in Malaysia and South Korea while last month six people - including four Britons - were charged with betting-related corruption in Australia.

What are the authorities doing to tackle match-fixing?

In February this year, the European Union's law enforcement agency Europol said it was investigating the fixing of 680 matches across the world - in Europe, Asia and South America.
A Europol statement said the conspiracy originated in Asia and involved at least 425 individuals - including match referees, club officials, players and members of organised criminal gangs.
It also said that, in Germany-based matches alone, criminals wagered £13.8m (16m euros) on rigged matches and made £6.9m in profits.
Three months later Michel Platini, president of European football's governing body Uefa, called for the establishment of a European sports police force to deal with match-fixing, hooliganism and doping - something he had first suggested in 2007.

He also asked that if a continent-wide police force was not possible, individual countries could introduce legislation to punish those guilty of corruption.
Meanwhile, in 2011 Interpol and football's governing body Fifa announced a 10-year joint initiative aimed at educating people about the risks with workshops, conferences and online tutorials.
Fifpro, the worldwide professional footballers' union, last year launched Don't Fix It, a prevention and education programme aimed at raising awareness of the dangers of match-fixing and reducing conditions that lead to it occurring.
Dr Andy Harvey of Birkbeck, University of London, is carrying out research for the Don't Fix It programme. He said: "In many cases the players are the victims of match-fixing rather than just the perpetrators of it.
"The main instigators of it, as has been the case in Italy in the past, are when clubs have been infiltrated by criminal gangs, like has happened in eastern European countries, or where players have been groomed by criminal gangs.
"This very often happens because the players are vulnerable. The European bodies, particularly Uefa, have to get to grips with governances at a national level and make sure that clubs are owned by fit and proper people."

How hard is it to fix a football match?

With 22 players on the pitch, substitutes and managers, it would appear on the surface that several people would need to be in on the scam.
However, mistakes in key positions can sometimes be enough to land a gamble.
Reckless tackles leading to penalties, a flawed goalkeeping performance or deliberate own goals have been noted in suspect matches.
Referees can also be targeted as demonstrated by bans handed down by Fifa following matches between Latvia and Bolivia, and Estonia and Bulgaria, in 2011.
The games, which took place as a double-header in Turkey and only attracted about 100 spectators, produced seven goals - all scored from penalties.
Six officials involved in the games were found guilty of "passive corruption" and "unlawfully influencing match results" by Fifa's disciplinary committee.

marți, 6 august 2013

Sports Betting Websites - Guide to Finding Good Sports Betting Websites

Do an online search for sports betting and you will find close to 12 million sports betting websites. How do you know which are the best sports betting websites? There are many types of betting, therefore many different sports betting websites. You have football betting, basketball betting, baseball betting, horse race betting etc.. You must be very careful when visiting these sites. Their are hundreds of fake betting sites that will take your money and never pay you what you're owed.

Listed are some signs that the sports betting website is possible a fake.

1.) The options that you have to make a deposit are very limited.

2.) They don't have a working 800 line. Even if you see an 800 line on the site always make sure it's working and that you can actually get a hold of a person and not just a recording.

3.) The odds are not updated. Make sure you always verify the odds with the Vegas sports books.

How do you select a legit website?

1.) Call the 800 number they provide. Most people don't normally take the time to do this, but this quick easy way to possibly save you hundreds of dollars..

2.) Do a little research on the site. Before you put down a deposit, make sure to Google the site name and see if anyone has any complaints about the particular site.

3.) Find out how long the website has been around. You typically only want to go with websites that have been around for a while. Do a little domain name research and verify that this isn't a brand new site that's just looking to scam people.

Overall you will get a wealth of information by doing some research. Just be very careful and don't fall for the fake websites out there.

luni, 22 iulie 2013

Fernandinho joining City

The first big signing of the summer could be the best, according to many experts. The £30m Brazilian midfielder tells FFT where he’s been hiding all these years...

fernandinho

After eight years in Ukraine, what made you move to England?


I chose to move to City because of the greatness of the team and their ambitions to win titles. I know Shakhtar wanted me to stay so much, but in the end they understood my situation and my heart’s desire, and without any doubt they will always be in my heart.

How would you describe yourself as a footballer?


I would say that my good points are very simple: I try to miss the fewest possible passes and be the engine of the team, linking defence to attack. I have a dream to finish a game without misplacing a single pass.

You’ve decided to wear the No.25 shirt. Why is this?


There are two reasons. The first is that as I played with the No.7 shirt at Shakhtar I wanted the number to relate to seven, so I decided to choose 25 because two plus five equals seven! And the other reason is that during contract negotiations for this move, we were all very tense at home as we didn’t know if the transfer would go through. Then one evening my son said: “My father’s shirt number will be 25.” I felt it was an omen.

How excited are you about playing alongside Yaya Toure?


Very. He is an excellent player, his record speaks for itself and I’m sure I will learn a lot from him. I think City’s squad is full of great players who understand football.

Who are your footballing idols?


When I was a child I was a great fan of the Brazilian goalkeeper, Taffarel. And because of him I wanted to be a goalkeeper too. But, thank God, my father did not let me and made sure I only played with my feet! Football is in my family’s blood: they all love football and my father and my uncles always played, but did not become professionals. I have played football since the age of two, so my mother tells me.

Atletico Paranaense was your first club – what are your memories of your time there?


Atletico was a spectacular club, with a great working structure – it was an excellent club for young players and they have exceptional fans. I had three perfect years playing for that team. A lesson I will never forget is when I was 14 and wanted to leave the training centre and go back to live with my parents, which would mean losing my place at the club and possibly my career, but the team’s president did not let me take this decision and convinced me to stay. And it’s worked out well since!

Have you always played as a central midfielder?


When I passed the trial for my first youth team, Centro de Treinamento de Futebol do Parana, aged 13, I played with older players and the coach put me on the right wing. For a long time I played in that position – even at Atletico, when I first turned professional, I played there sometimes. You moved to Ukraine aged 20.

What made you go?


Initially what grabbed my attention was the financial part, because the difference in salary to what I was earning in Brazil was huge. But it was the best decision I ever made. I learned about another culture and its customs, and it made me grow a lot. My football evolved tactically and technically as well. When I look back, I’m happy that everything went well in those eight years.

How did you cope with the change?


The first few months were not difficult. It was still summer in Europe, meaning I could adapt slowly. What I had to get used to was the kind of training and language. I did not understand a word that was said to me! In supermarkets, I wanted to ask about foods, but couldn’t. On the pitch, the training workouts were more demanding than I’d been used to. Physical contact was constant and sometimes we had fights. But all this was part of the learning curve, and everybody grew up together there.

What’s your proudest achievement?


The first time I was chosen as the player of the season for Shaktar in 2008 – that was fantastic for me. Winning the UEFA Cup in 2009 and the last four domestic league titles, where we played really well, were all big achievements too.

So what’s the aim at City?


To win everything possible. I want to see the supporters smile and cheer... that is my greatest wish.

How’s your English coming along?


I am about to start English classes to learn as quickly as possible. But right now I can communicate in Spanish without problems.

Have you ever eaten fish and chips – England’s most famous food?


Not yet, but I’m curious to try. I really love Brazilian food: rice, beans and red meat.

Finally, Manchester has a great musical heritage. Have you heard of Oasis, who support City?


I hadn’t before, but after doing a bit of research I found out they were one of the best bands of the ’90s! I prefer quiet music: it helps me focus.





http://www.ukbettips.co.uk/images/stiri_lume/august-2013/fernandinho-man-city.jpg via ukbettips.co.uk http://www.ukbettips.co.uk/football-betting-news/4955-fernandinho-joining-city.html

The most expensive transfer in the history of the club Manchester United - Cesc Fabregas.

The most expensive transfer in the history of the club Manchester United- Cesc Fabregas.



cesc-fabregas-496x286-2

David Moyes insists on bringing an improvement to his team and offers for the soccer player from Barcelona over 30 milion pounds plus add-ons. In addition, United has prepared an offer imposibile to refuse and would pay him arround £200,000-a-week.

The Spaniard wants to stay at Nou Camp at least 1 year. The contract with Barcelona runs to 2016 and includes clauses for his former club Arsenal like £25m.



Barca boss insisted that stars such as Lionel Messi and Andres Iniesta don' t have a price, but never mention Fabregas in this category and that give United the hope to clinch a deal.

For the 26-year-old international is not a priority but also it's hard to refuse the offer.

Manchester didn' t bring any name on this summer and hopes to reach an agreement with Barcelona to persuade Fabregas to return to the Premier League.

“But as far as players we are looking to bring in, we are working hard to do that and make some additions to the squad. Hopefully there will be some good news in the not too distant future. I am in contact with the chief exec, Ed Woodward, who has been dealing with it just now",Moyes about United’s move for Fabregas. On the other side Bartome announced “We can assure you that we won’t listen to any offers for Cesc”.





http://www.ukbettips.co.uk/images/stiri_lume/decembrie-2012/cesc-fabregas-496x286-2.jpg via ukbettips.co.uk http://www.ukbettips.co.uk/football-betting-news/4967-the-most-expensive-transfer-in-the-history-of-the-club-manchester-united-cesc-fabregas.html

vineri, 19 iulie 2013

European hopes dependent on Thiago Silva - Barcelona News

Tito Vilanova's need to insert to Barcelona's alternatives at the coronary heart of defence has unsurprisingly reignited rumours of a bid for Thiago Silva.



Silva

The Brazilian is held in substantial regard at the Camp Nou right after an influenced performance in Barca's two-two draw with AC Milan in the Champions League in the 2011-12 time, as well as a pair of powerful showings in PSG's quarter-ultimate away-aim defeat to Barca final period.

He was named in the UEFA Staff of the Calendar year in the two 2011 and 2012, and was instrumental in the Milan aspect that secured the Serie A title in 2010-11, their 1st in seven a long time.

He has both the tempo and the specialized capability to prosper in Barcelona's substantial defensive line, and with 39 caps for Brazil is used to taking part in in a aspect that cherishes possession of the ball in footballing phrases he signifies a risk-totally free selection for Vilanova.

Barcelona are 4/1 to get the Champions League, a price they will uncover challenging to justify should they not improve in an area the place they search light-weight.

Club captain Carles Puyol is turning into progressively injuries-vulnerable and has just lately undergone knee medical procedures, whilst Gerard Pique has also experienced physical fitness issues. Midfielder Javier Mascherano has been compelled to believe to the place, as has Sergio Busquets on celebration.

With the departure to Monaco of one more auxiliary centre-back, Eric Abidal, a bid for Silva tends to make a enormous deal of perception, and at 28, the Brazilian must be entering his peak a long time, and could offer a long expression associate for Pique. The Brazilian would also carry management to the backline, which Barca have been accused of lacking in Puyol's absence.

Even so, whether Barca have the monetary firepower to lure Thiago stays to be seen, specifically following their £48.6 million recruitment of Neymar – rumours that in change show up to be fuelling speculation of Cesc Fabregas's mooted move to Manchester United.

Thiago Silva will inevitably expense a gargantuan sum. PSG paid £42 million for his providers, but they confirmed a deference to recognized European powers in allowing manager Carlo Ancelotti assume the reins at Genuine Madrid, which could motivate Barca. It is also tough to believe that the player himself would not welcome the transfer, regardless of his proclamations of loyalty to PSG.

The club will no doubt be investigating alternate options, but if they are to usurp Bayern Munich at the top of European soccer, Silva have to be their principal target.





http://www.ukbettips.co.uk/images/stiri_lume/decembrie-2012/Silva.jpg via ukbettips.co.uk http://www.ukbettips.co.uk/football-betting-news/4959-european-hopes-dependent-on-thiago-silva-barcelona-news.html

miercuri, 17 iulie 2013

How To Pick Successful Betting Tips That Will Win

Creating cash from sports activities betting is very difficult and it is fair to say that about 90% of gamblers will constantly shed cash. They could have intervals exactly where they get, but they will have the greater part of periods the place they consistently drop. The other 10% who make funds have a program in location, and they have a method that makes it possible for them to make cash utilizing their betting tips.

In order to pick good quality tips, analysis has to be a huge element of your selection procedure. You must usually wager on sports activities that you know, or athletics that you have analyzed extensively. Betting on athletics with two results is always a whole lot easier than betting on athletics with 3 results, and that in switch
is easier than betting on a horse race with several outcomes.

For case in point, in football, a attract is a quite most likely end result, so there are 3 results that are obtainable, but in say rugby union or rugby league, the likelihood of acquiring a attract is virtually zilch. The exact same applies for tennis, snooker and darts - there are only two results available, it is just acquire or shed.

This helps make it significantly less complicated for you to pick your betting tips, and for you to locate sports that have a increased possibility of successful. This is not to say you cannot decide on ideas for horse racing, but it is critical to understand that horse racing is naturally a whole lot riskier than tennis for illustration. You will also discover that you will get decrease odds on tennis as opposed to horse racing and this is because it is a great deal less difficult to get on a tennis match than it is to acquire on a horse race!

A great deal of folks bet on horse racing basically for the excitement and that adrenaline hurry, and if you want to have that, horse racing is absolutely for you. If you are hunting to make a lengthy-time period revenue from your betting, it is essential to choose athletics that have the greatest possibility of winning and not sports activities you appreciate observing. If you can recognize the best betting suggestions on a day-to-day basis, it is straightforward to make cash.

As soon as you have picked your betting tips that you want to bet on, it is important to bet sensibly and have a staking technique in spot, which you will comply with. Be wise with your bets and examination out your betting ideas 1st before you start betting with your challenging-attained funds. Screening goes a long way, and it never ever hurts to be a 100% certain ahead of genuine betting with real cash.

luni, 15 iulie 2013

Pellegrini: Dzeko to stay at City - Premier League

Manuel Pellegrini has confirmed he wants striker Edin Dzeko to stay at Manchester City.



edin-dzeko

The 27-year-old's future has been the focus of much speculation in the summer as City have continued to be linked with a number of strikers, including Fiorentina's Stevan Joveti and Sevilla's Alvaro Negredo.

Speaking before taking charge of his first game as City boss against Supersport United in Pretoria, the Chilean moved quickly however to quash suggestions that Dzeko was not in his plans.

"I spoke with Dzeko while he was on holiday," said Pellegrini.

"He doesn't have any problem. He'll stay.

"For me, he's a very important player and I'm sure that he will give, this season, the performances we know he can."

Following their disappointment in reclaiming the Premier League title last season, the Citizens have bolstered their squad with the signings of Fernandinho and Jesus Navas, and Pellegrini revealed he was still keen to do more business.

"We will sign maybe two or three more players," he said.

City are rated as 3.25 to win the Premier League next season, with Chelsea 3.25.





http://www.ukbettips.co.uk/images/stiri_lume/decembrie-2012/edin-dzeko.jpg via ukbettips.co.uk http://www.ukbettips.co.uk/football-betting-news/4948-pellegrini-dzeko-to-stay-at-city-premier-league.html

luni, 8 iulie 2013

Best of luck! Use your knowledge. Win Big!

Best Free Bet Offers - Provided by ukbettips.co.uk

duminică, 23 iunie 2013

Regression Analysis in Sports Betting Systems

Sport betting is a form of wagering on the outcomes of traditional probability games such as cards, dice, or roulette as well as on the outcomes of sporting events such as football or baseball. Betting results are resolved at the conclusion of the event and generally requires that neither of the parties involved in the wager has any influence on the event in question. A private citizen wagering on the outcome of a football match between Manchester United and Chelsea would be considered a form of sports betting, while the team owner making that same bet would not be considered a form of sports betting.
Sport betting has been popular for centuries. The earliest forms of contemporary sport betting revolved around cock fights in the late 17th century, while wagering on horse races became highly popular between the 19th to 20th centuries. In 1960, television gave birth to a new era in the history of betting on team-based sports, and the longstanding 10% tax on sports betting was eliminated in 1974, leading to even more popularity. In 1990s, the advent of the Internet facilitated online sports betting, creating an increasing need for sophisticated statistical tracking, like regression analysis, to develop winning strategies for wagering.
Traditional gambling and sports betting: Are they same?
There are several key differences between traditional gambling and sports betting. In traditional gambling, the likelihood of any event can be calculated accurately even though the number of possible results may differ (for example: the odds of picking a specific card out of a standard deck is always one in 52). However, the likely result of a sporting event cannot be calculated with such precision. While the odds of winning in traditional gambling are derived from a known probability, sports betting relies on parsing a large number of variables, usually with more than one potential outcome.
Sports gambling: Profitable or not
In 2011, the gross gaming revenue of the global gambling industry was $368.4 billion, with 8.60% of this total earned from wagers made over the Internet. Online gambling includes all Internet-based portals that provide lotteries, poker, casino games, bingo, and sports betting. Sports betting remains most popular form of online wagering, representing 43% of gambling revenue earned from Internet sources, with a total market of $13.66 billion.
gambling-revenue
Figure: Worldwide gross gambling revenue
**source: Statistical Methodology for Profitable Sports Gambling
Methods used in sports betting system
Various methods can be used to generate a sports betting system, although most experts agree that the most widely used method is regression analysis. Regression analysis can be used to establish the important factors and variables which will influence the overall outcome of a sporting event. Multivariate linear regression, logistic regression, and multiple regression analysis can all be used to calculate the probability of any outcome, and since determining the outcome of a sporting event requires analyzing a high number of variables, regression analysis provides a suitable framework for defining and assigning a value to these variables. For example: A multivariate linear test on American football games was conducted by NFL. The result showed that the most important variable – the variable with the highest influence over the outcome of the match – was “passing efficiency”. Recent movies and bestseller titles like Moneyball have delved into the world of statistical analysis, driving increased interest in the use of regression analysis for sports betting.
Logistic regression analysis
Logistic regression is a forecasting technique that provides a probability percentage for a given variable. For example, if one wants to calculate the probability of a team winning the 59th game of the season, they would analyze the last 58 games to obtain the team’s point differential or margin of victory (MV or MOV). Margin of victory is a statistical term which indicates difference between the number of points scored by the winning team and the number of points scored by the losing team. A smaller MV represents a close match, and by using statistical software like SPSS, the following equation can provide the percentage chance that the team will win, based on MV scores:
euler
(e is known as euler’s number, roughly 2.72).
A percentage chance of winning can also be determined in Microsoft Excel by using this equation:
1 / (1 + EXP(-(-0.0039+0.1272*[MOV])))
Multiple regression analysis in sports betting
Multiple regression systems are widely considered the most reliable modern sports betting system. This core of MRA is built on a timeless logical assumption: “what’s past is prologue”. This means that one must know the past to know the future. To create a multiple regression betting system, one must have reliable data regarding past information of the players and teams, meaning that trustworthy historical data is crucial to building an effective multiple regression system.
An example of using a multiple regression system in sports betting
A sports bettor will wager on the final match between Team A & Team B.
Regression #1: Bettor finds that Team A won the regular series against Team B by 3-1 during the first match of the year.
Regression#2: Bettor finds that Team B crushed Team A in a recent playoff match.
Regression#3: One player of Team A is Player X, and Player X has never won against Team B.
Since both teams have scored a victory, bettor determines that the key variable is the presence of Player X, and decides that Team B will win the match. Thus, by using multiple regression analysis, bettor is able to analyze the events of the past and extrapolate the most probable future.
To utilize multiple regression methodology in a betting system, one needs to posses consistent and reliable data on the past performance of both teams and players (“Multiple Regressions”:2013). Without an extensive and dependable source of historical data, the bettor will not be able to regress into the past to determine probable outcomes of future events (“Multiple Regressions”:2013).
To develop a multiple regression system, mining data from an online sports book that can offer accurate historical sports data in a format that is easily accessible and actionable is highly recommended. These sports books also provide step by step rules for implementing regression analysis techniques in sports betting.
Note that regression analysis methodology is also employed by most casinos in an effort to generate probabilities that favor the house – for similar reasons, sports books use regression analysis to provide sports betting enthusiasts with the same advantage. While we all know that no future event can be predicted with 100% accuracy, a comprehensive regression analysis system can be used by sports boo developers  to calculate probabilities that are highly reliable.
Problem of using regression analysis in sports betting
There is one glaring problem in using regression analysis to predict outcomes of sporting events: the differentiation between correlation and causation. Regression analysis is effective at identifying a correlation between events, but cannot properly identify whether one event is caused by another. For example: regression analysis can be used to show that every time Team A loses, player X does not score a goal. However, regression analysis cannot be used to conclude that Player X not scoring a goal is the cause of Team A losing the match.
In other words, regression analysis can be used to determine probable future performance based on defined past outcomes, but is unable to define causes for past outcomes. Ultimately, the effectiveness of any multiple regression system relies entirely on the proper selection and comparison of variables.
Other betting systems
In addition to multiple regression analysis, there are two other commonly used wagering methodologies: the arbitrage betting system and the use of statistical anomalies. Arbitrage betting is designed to generate profit without taking a loss (“Multiple Regressions and Statistical Anomalies”:2012), and in most cases the result of sports event is not considered. Naturally, profits are not guaranteed, but arbitrage is a straightforward strategy that can easily be learned by novice bettors.
When implementing a strategy around statistical anomalies, the bettor seeks to gain a competitive advantage by diverging from seemingly sound predictions by introducing variables that are often overlooked by other forms of betting systems. Using this tactic successfully requires a careful study of both teams and players, as well as a variety of incidental variables, such as weather, crowd sizes, health conditions, or injuries. By using this methodology, the bettor is attempting to determine how individual players and teams deal with anomalous situations not generally encountered during a match (“Multiple Regressions and Statistical Anomalies”:2012).
Conclusion
While regression analyses can help a bettor identify and define the variables that may affect the outcome of any given match, determining which variables to measure and compare is the central challenge in building a winning regression system. Therefore, regression analysis in sports betting is based upon not only a comparison of reliable past data with future events, but in deciding which variables may potentially alter the probabilities of those future events.
References:
1. Margin of victory.(2013).Retrieved May 25,2013 from http://www.sportingcharts.com/
2. Sportsbetting-Past & present.(2013). Retrieved May 24, 2013 from http://www.thesluggers.com/
3. Multiple Regressions.(2012). Retrieved May 23, 2013 from http://www.casinoreview.org/
4. Multiple Regressions and Statistical Anomalies on Sports Betting.(2012).Retrieved May 23, 2013 fromhttp://www.777sport.co.uk/
5. Moya F.E. “Statistical Methodology for Profitable Sports Gambling”.